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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Brescia v Casarano: numbers & prediction

Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Union Brescia

WWWDD
0–0
FT

Casarano

LWWWW
Union Brescia 59%Draw 24%Casarano 17% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.95
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion Brescia to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Union Brescia vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Union Brescia v Casarano in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs, played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.

Current form

Union Brescia, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Casarano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Casarano, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Union Brescia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Casarano 0–3 Union Brescia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Brescia 2.0 xG, Casarano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Brescia 59%, draw 24%, Casarano 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Union Brescia or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Union Brescia to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Brescia 2–0 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Brescia59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Casarano17%fair 6.05 · @4.20
2.94Expected goals
1.99Union Brescia xG
0.95Casarano xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Union Brescia 2.0 – 1.0 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Brescia to win ✗59%1.691.83 ▲
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.80
Draw no betUnion Brescia (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapUnion Brescia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.962.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreUnion Brescia to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultUnion Brescia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Union Brescia – last 6

WWWDDL
17 May@ Casarano3–0W
19 Aprvs Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0W
3 Aprvs Cittadella2–1W
29 Mar@ Vicenza Virtus1–1D
13 Mar@ Alcione0–0D
3 Mar@ Albinoleffe0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Casarano – last 6

LWWWWD
17 Mayvs Union Brescia0–3L
13 May@ Renate3–0W
6 May@ Cosenza5–1W
6 Aprvs Potenza2–1W
29 Marvs Giugliano2–0W
23 Mar@ Catania1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Casarano v Union Brescia0–3
Union Brescia vs Casarano head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Ascoli1 Potenza0 157%1.50X25%3.65218%6.40 1.6–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Catania3 Lecco3 153%1.65X25%3.20221%5.40 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✗
FT Ravenna0 Salernitana2 144%2.30X25%3.10230%2.88 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Casarano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Union Brescia vs Casarano?

On our numbers Union Brescia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Casarano 17%.

How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Casarano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Casarano?

Our predicted score is Union Brescia 2–0 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Union Brescia vs Casarano?

Union Brescia vs Casarano (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.