Catania 53%Draw 25%Lecco 21%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.89
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCatania to win ✗53% · @1.65
Double chanceCatania or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Catania vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 20 May the Serie C Promotion Play Offs brings Catania against Lecco at Stadio Angelo Massimino. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Catania, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lecco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lecco, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Catania, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lecco, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Catania.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lecco 0–0 Catania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catania 1.3 xG, Lecco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catania 53%, draw 25%, Lecco 21%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catania 1–0 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catania53%fair 1.88 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Lecco21%fair 4.69 · @5.40
2.23Expected goals
1.34Catania xG
0.89Lecco xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: Catania 1.3 – 0.9 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Catania vs Lecco?
On our numbers Catania have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lecco 21%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catania vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Catania 1–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Catania vs Lecco?
Catania vs Lecco (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Angelo Massimino
Ascoli1
Potenza0
Union Brescia0
Casarano0
Ravenna0
Salernitana2