Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro to win ✓40% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Cerro vs Central Espanol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro welcome Central Espanol for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 24 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Central Espanol are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Cerro, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Club Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Central Espanol, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Defensor Sporting, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Central Espanol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Cerro.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Central Espanol 3–1 Cerro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 1.3 xG, Central Espanol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 40%, draw 28%, Central Espanol 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro40%fair 2.50 · @2.58
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Central Espanol32%fair 3.09 · @2.72
2.37Expected goals
1.34Cerro xG
1.03Central Espanol xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.3 – 1.0 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerro
Central Espanol
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-9%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+24%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Cerro vs Central Espanol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerro vs Central Espanol?
On our numbers Cerro have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Central Espanol 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Central Espanol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Central Espanol?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Central Espanol?
Cerro vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
