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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wanderers v Deportivo Maldonado: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Wanderers 32%Draw 27%Deportivo Maldonado 42% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.36
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗42% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Maldonado travel to face Wanderers on Sunday 24 May in the Primera División Apertura – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Wanderers, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Albion FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Danubio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Wanderers 0–0 Deportivo Maldonado.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.1 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 32%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wanderers32%fair 3.16 · @2.82
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Deportivo Maldonado42%fair 2.40 · @2.36
2.43Expected goals
1.08Wanderers xG
1.36Deportivo Maldonado xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Wanderers 1.1 – 1.4 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

WanderersDeportivo Maldonado
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-1%+14%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-23%
Our expected goals here0.981.36

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗42%2.402.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.80
Draw no betDeportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapWanderers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDeportivo Maldonado to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Wanderers – last 6

DWLLDW
17 May@ Albion FC0–0D
8 Mayvs Liverpool Montevideo1–0W
25 Mar@ Albion FC1–2L
14 Mar@ Club Nacional0–2L
7 Marvs Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
1 Mar@ Central Espanol1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportivo Maldonado – last 6

WWLWLD
18 Mayvs Danubio3–1W
11 Mayvs Boston River2–1W
31 Mar@ Central Espanol1–2L
24 Marvs Atletico Torque1–0W
20 Mar@ Cerro Largo1–3L
7 Mar@ Wanderers0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Wanderers v Deportivo Maldonado0–0
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?

On our numbers Wanderers have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Maldonado 42%.

How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.