Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Marília to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarília to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Grêmio Prudente vs Marília: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Copa Paulista brings Grêmio Prudente against Marília at Estadio Paulo Constantino. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Grêmio Prudente, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bandeirante SP, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Marília, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Linense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Marília 1–0 Grêmio Prudente.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grêmio Prudente 1.1 xG, Marília 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grêmio Prudente 38%, draw 22%, Marília 41%.
Price worth noting: Marília to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grêmio Prudente 1–1 Marília. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grêmio Prudente38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Marília41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
1.09Grêmio Prudente xG
1.15Marília xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Grêmio Prudente 1.1 – 1.1 Marília expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
On our numbers Grêmio Prudente have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marília 41%.
How many goals will there be in Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Our predicted score is Grêmio Prudente 1–1 Marília, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Grêmio Prudente vs Marília (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paulo Constantino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus5
Oeste0
Linense2
Bandeirante SP0
Noroeste4
Comercial3
XV de Piracicaba1
União São João1
Santo André1
EC São Bernardo0