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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santo André v EC São Bernardo: numbers & prediction

Copa Paulista · Brazil

Santo André

WLWDL
1–0
FT

EC São Bernardo

LWWLW
Santo André 33%Draw 22%EC São Bernardo 46% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.42
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultEC São Bernardo to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.11

Santo André vs EC São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Santo André v EC São Bernardo in the Copa Paulista.

Current form

Santo André, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over São Caetano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

EC São Bernardo, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to São José EC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended EC São Bernardo 3–1 Santo André.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santo André 1.1 xG, EC São Bernardo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santo André 33%, draw 22%, EC São Bernardo 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santo André 1–1 EC São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santo André33%fair 3.08 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
EC São Bernardo46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
2.56Expected goals
1.14Santo André xG
1.42EC São Bernardo xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Santo André 1.1 – 1.4 EC São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEC São Bernardo to win ✗46%2.182.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betEC São Bernardo (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapSanto André +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreEC São Bernardo to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT EC São Bernardo / FT EC São Bernardo ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.11–

Recent results

Santo André – last 6

WLWDLD
17 Aug@ São Caetano1–0W
8 Aug@ São José EC0–2L
2 Augvs São José EC1–0W
26 Julvs São Caetano0–0D
19 Jul@ EC São Bernardo1–3L
1 Mar@ Linense1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

EC São Bernardo – last 6

LWWLWL
15 Augvs São José EC2–3L
9 Augvs São Caetano2–0W
1 Aug@ São Caetano4–1W
25 Jul@ São José EC1–2L
19 Julvs Santo André3–1W
15 Marvs Portuguesa Santista0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026EC São Bernardo v Santo André3–1
Santo André vs EC São Bernardo head-to-head page →

More Copa Paulista predictions

League hub
FT Grêmio Prudente1 Marília0 138%2.25X22%3.25241%2.75 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Juventus5 Oeste0 168%1.45X19%4.00213%6.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Juventus to win 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Linense2 Bandeirante SP0 164%1.73X22%3.20214%4.50 1.6–0.6xG 1Linense to win 64%@1.73 ✓
FT Noroeste4 Comercial3 164%1.62X23%3.60213%4.50 1.7–0.6xG 1Noroeste to win 64%@1.62 ✓
FT XV de Piracicaba1 União São João1 164%1.57X20%3.50216%5.00 1.5–0.5xG 1XV de Piracicaba to win 64%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santo André vs EC São Bernardo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Santo André vs EC São Bernardo?

On our numbers Santo André have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and EC São Bernardo 46%.

How many goals will there be in Santo André vs EC São Bernardo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santo André vs EC São Bernardo?

Our predicted score is Santo André 1–1 EC São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Santo André vs EC São Bernardo?

Santo André vs EC São Bernardo (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.