Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Tokyo v Cerezo Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · National Olympic Stadium
1–3
FT
FC Tokyo 62%Draw 22%Cerezo Osaka 16% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.88
84%
Betarazi pick

FC Tokyo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Tokyo welcome Cerezo Osaka to National Olympic Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 6 June (06:00 WAT). In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

FC Tokyo, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cerezo Osaka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Tokyo, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Cerezo Osaka 2–2 FC Tokyo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 2.1 xG, Cerezo Osaka 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 62%, draw 22%, Cerezo Osaka 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (84%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 2–0 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tokyo62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Cerezo Osaka16%fair 6.29 · @3.95
3.02Expected goals
2.14FC Tokyo xG
0.88Cerezo Osaka xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.1 – 0.9 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Tokyo to win ✗62%1.611.85 ▲
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✗84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.60
Draw no betFC Tokyo (draw no bet) ✗80%1.26–
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
First team to scoreFC Tokyo to score first ✗67%1.48–
Half-time resultFC Tokyo ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

FC Tokyo – last 6

DLWLWW
30 May@ Cerezo Osaka2–2D
23 May@ Kashima0–1L
10 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy2–1W
6 Mayvs JEF United Chiba0–3L
2 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale2–0W
29 Apr@ Kashiwa Reysol3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

DWWWLW
30 Mayvs FC Tokyo2–2D
24 May@ Fagiano Okayama3–2W
17 Mayvs Nagoya Grampus6–1W
9 Mayvs V-varen Nagasaki3–2W
25 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2L
18 Aprvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Cerezo Osaka v FC Tokyo2–2
FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerezo Osaka 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.