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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy

DLWLL
2–4
FT

Gamba Osaka

DWLLW
Tokyo Verdy 31%Draw 27%Gamba Osaka 41% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.43
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:00 WAT, Saturday 6 June: Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka in the J1 League, played at Ajinomoto Stadium. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Gamba Osaka are 5th (upper half) with 28. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gamba Osaka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Gamba Osaka, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tokyo Verdy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Gamba Osaka 1–1 Tokyo Verdy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 1.2 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 31%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Gamba Osaka to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokyo Verdy31%fair 3.18 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Gamba Osaka41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.61Expected goals
1.18Tokyo Verdy xG
1.43Gamba Osaka xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.2 – 1.4 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✓41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betGamba Osaka (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapTokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.131.05
First team to scoreGamba Osaka to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

DLWLLW
30 May@ Gamba Osaka1–1D
24 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos0–6L
16 May@ Mito Hollyhock1–0W
10 May@ FC Tokyo1–2L
6 May@ Kawasaki Frontale0–1L
3 Mayvs Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gamba Osaka – last 6

DWLLWL
30 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy1–1D
24 May@ Shimizu S-pulse2–1W
10 Mayvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1L
6 May@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
2 Mayvs Vissel Kobe5–0W
22 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Gamba Osaka v Tokyo Verdy1–1
Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT JEF United Chiba1 Avispa Fukuoka2 141%2.80X27%3.10232%2.60 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.48 ✓
FT Kashima2 Vissel Kobe0 143%2.25X26%3.30231%3.10 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT FC Tokyo1 Cerezo Osaka3 162%1.85X22%3.60216%3.95 2.1–0.9xG 1XFC Tokyo or draw 84%@1.22 ✗
FT Machida Zelvia0 Nagoya Grampus0 AET 2–1 155%2.05X24%3.30221%3.60 1.8–0.8xG 1XMachida Zelvia or draw 79%@1.28 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock0 V-varen Nagasaki1 138%2.30X27%3.25235%3.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Urawa0 Fagiano Okayama2 154%1.95X25%3.35221%3.80 1.8–1.1xG 1XUrawa or draw 79%@1.25 ✗
FT Yokohama F. Marinos3 Shimizu S-pulse0 149%2.33X24%3.25227%3.00 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT Kashiwa Reysol0 Kyoto Sanga1 156%1.95X24%3.55220%3.55 1.8–1.0xG 1XKashiwa Reysol or draw 80%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gamba Osaka 41%.

How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.