Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗55% · @2.05
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nagoya Grampus travel to face Machida Zelvia on Saturday 6 June in the J1 League, with Machida Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Urawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Nagoya Grampus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 1.8 xG, Nagoya Grampus 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 55%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 21%.
Lower-risk option: Machida Zelvia or draw (79%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Machida Zelvia to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Machida Zelvia or draw (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Machida Zelvia55%fair 1.83 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Nagoya Grampus21%fair 4.72 · @3.60
2.68Expected goals
1.84Machida Zelvia xG
0.84Nagoya Grampus xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.8 – 0.8 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Machida Zelvia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Machida Zelvia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWWW
22 May
vs Urawa
1–0
W
10 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LLWWWW
23 May
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–4
L
17 May
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–6
L
10 May
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
6 May
vs Gamba Osaka
2–1
W
3 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 21%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Vissel Kobe0
Cerezo Osaka3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Fagiano Okayama2
Gamba Osaka4
Shimizu S-pulse0
Kyoto Sanga1