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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Togo v Benin: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Stade El Bachir

Togo

DWD
5–1
FT

Benin

DWW
Togo 48%Draw 25%Benin 27% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.97
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds
1

Value bet: Togo to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTogo to win ✓48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Togo vs Benin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Benin travel to face Togo on Tuesday 9 June in the Friendlies, with Stade El Bachir the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Togo, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Central African Republic, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Benin, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Niger, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Benin, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Togo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Togo 1.6 xG, Benin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Togo 48%, draw 25%, Benin 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Togo to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Togo 1–1 Benin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Togo48%fair 2.08 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.88
Benin27%fair 3.73 · @2.90
2.59Expected goals
1.62Togo xG
0.97Benin xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Togo 1.6 – 1.0 Benin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TogoBenin
Attack vs Friendlies average+17%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-6%+8%
Our expected goals here2.170.99

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTogo to win ✓48%2.082.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betTogo (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapBenin +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreTogo to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Togo / FT Togo ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Togo – last 3

DWD
5 Jun@ Central African Republic1–1D
31 Mar@ Niger1–0W
27 Mar@ Guinea2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Benin – last 3

DWW
5 Junvs Niger1–1D
31 Mar@ Guinea1–0W
27 Marvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Togo and Benin.

Togo vs Benin head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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– Vanuatu Fiji 160%1.60X22%4.20218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG 1Vanuatu to win 60%@1.60
FT Philippines5 Myanmar1 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.75 2.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.25 ✓
FT China0 Thailand0 138%1.95X23%3.30239%3.45 1.2–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Cambodia2 Hong Kong0 129%3.20X26%3.30245%2.05 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Oman Kuwait 156%1.85X22%3.42222%4.05 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.37
FT Indonesia1 Mozambique0 163%1.45X18%4.40219%5.25 2.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
– Bahrain Syria 146%2.35X23%3.10231%2.88 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40
FT Kyrgyzstan0 Palestine0 139%2.75X26%2.95235%2.50 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Togo vs Benin?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Togo vs Benin?

On our numbers Togo have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Benin 27%.

How many goals will there be in Togo vs Benin?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Togo vs Benin?

Our predicted score is Togo 1–1 Benin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Togo vs Benin?

Togo vs Benin (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade El Bachir.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.