Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Pogoń Siedlce Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPogoń Siedlce to win ✗42% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki welcome Pogoń Siedlce for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 11 July (10:00 WAT).

Current form

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AS Trencin, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Jagiellonia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Pogoń Siedlce.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0–2 Pogoń Siedlce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.6 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 35%, draw 23%, Pogoń Siedlce 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki35%fair 2.88 · @3.00

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.45

Pogoń Siedlce42%fair 2.38 · @2.10

3.27Expected goals

1.55Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG

1.72Pogoń Siedlce xG

62%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

2–27%

0–17%

1–06%

From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.6 – 1.7 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Pogoń Siedlce
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average	-12%	-8%
Goals conceded vs average	+27%	+13%
Our expected goals here	1.72	1.89

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Siedlce

Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average

-12%

-8%

Goals conceded vs average

+27%

+13%

Our expected goals here

1.72

1.89

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pogoń Siedlce to win ✗	42%	2.38	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.57
Draw no bet	Pogoń Siedlce (draw no bet)	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.60	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
First team to score	Pogoń Siedlce to score first	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.65	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pogoń Siedlce / FT Pogoń Siedlce ✗	25%	3.96	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.48	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce to win ✗

42%

2.38

2.10

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

77%

1.30

–

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

62%

1.61

1.57

Draw no bet

Pogoń Siedlce (draw no bet)

55%

1.83

–

Asian handicap

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

73%

1.38

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.22

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

59%

1.69

1.70

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

63%

1.60

1.40

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

–

First team to score

Pogoń Siedlce to score first

51%

1.98

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

38%

2.65

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Pogoń Siedlce / FT Pogoń Siedlce ✗

25%

3.96

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.48

–

7 Jul	vs AS Trencin	1–1	D
4 Jul	@ Unia Skierniewice	1–0	W
27 Jun	@ Wisla Plock	1–2	L
24 May	@ Slask Wroclaw	0–0	D
17 May	vs Tychy 71	0–0	D
11 May	@ Odra Opole	1–3	L

4 Jul	@ Jagiellonia	1–4	L
27 Jun	vs Unia Skierniewice	0–3	L
24 May	@ Wisla Krakow	0–2	L
19 Apr	@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2–0	W
12 Apr	vs Tychy 71	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Chrobry Głogów	1–2	L

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Pogoń Siedlce: numbers & prediction