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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayern München v RB Leipzig: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Allianz Arena

Bayern München

WWLDL
3–1
FT

RB Leipzig

LWWWL
Bayern München 70%Draw 18%RB Leipzig 12% Expected goals 2.53 – 0.99
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayern München to win ✓70% · @1.35
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Bayern München against RB Leipzig at Allianz Arena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Bayern München, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aston Villa, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

RB Leipzig, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leeds, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 2.5 xG, RB Leipzig 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 70%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.38.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayern München70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @5.40
RB Leipzig12%fair 8.29 · @7.00
3.52Expected goals
2.53Bayern München xG
0.99RB Leipzig xG
63%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%

From our goals model: Bayern München 2.5 – 1.0 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayern München to win ✓70%1.421.35
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓88%1.141.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.38
Draw no betBayern München (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapBayern München -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.141.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.491.53
First team to scoreBayern München to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultBayern München ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayern München / FT Bayern München ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Bayern München – last 6

WWLDLW
7 Augvs Aston Villa2–1W
4 Aug@ Jeju United FC2–1W
25 Jul@ SV Wehen1–2L
6 Mayvs Paris Saint Germain1–1D
28 Apr@ Paris Saint Germain4–5L
22 Apr@ Bayer Leverkusen2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

RB Leipzig – last 6

LWWWLW
8 Aug@ Leeds0–2L
1 Augvs Verl4–0W
25 Julvs FC Ingolstadt 041–0W
18 Jul@ Altglienicke2–1W
29 May@ Mamelodi Sundowns1–3L
24 Aprvs Union Berlin3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and RB Leipzig.

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 122%3.30X20%3.30258%1.95 0.8–1.5xG 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 58%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 151%1.97X20%3.85229%3.35 2.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Chelsea3 Real Sociedad1 167%1.58X20%4.40213%4.80 2.5–1.1xG 1Chelsea to win 67%@1.58 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Aston Villa1 142%3.00X19%4.10239%2.04 2.1–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 137%2.70X21%3.65242%2.35 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Leeds4 FC Augsburg0 163%1.80X20%3.60217%3.60 3.6–2.1xG 1XLeeds or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X20%3.75235%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sunderland2 Rennes1 145%2.28X21%3.65234%2.80 1.9–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

On our numbers Bayern München have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and RB Leipzig 12%.

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.