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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Aston Villa: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WWWWW
2–1
FT

Aston Villa

LLWLL
Borussia Mönchengladbach 42%Draw 19%Aston Villa 39% Expected goals 2.08 – 2.02
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @ 3.00 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✓42% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.83

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aston Villa travel to face Borussia Mönchengladbach on Saturday 15 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over SSVg Velbert, away. Scoring is no problem – 4.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aston Villa, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Borussia Mönchengladbach, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Aston Villa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.1 xG, Aston Villa 2.0 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Mönchengladbach 42%, draw 19%, Aston Villa 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Aston Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Borussia Mönchengladbach42%fair 2.41 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.10
Aston Villa39%fair 2.54 · @2.04
4.10Expected goals
2.08Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.02Aston Villa xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%

From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.1 – 2.0 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✓42%2.413.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.33
Draw no betBorussia Mönchengladbach (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapAston Villa +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.361.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.93
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.531.36
First team to scoreBorussia Mönchengladbach to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultBorussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time ✓34%2.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach ✓25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7%13.83–

Recent results

Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6

WWWWWW
12 Aug@ SSVg Velbert8–0W
1 Aug@ Hansa Rostock3–1W
25 Jul@ Rot-Weiß Essen2–1W
18 Jul@ Wuppertaler SV6–0W
20 May@ Spelle-Venhaus6–2W
13 Marvs FC St. Pauli2–0W
4.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aston Villa – last 6

LLWLLW
12 Aug@ Paris Saint Germain1–2L
7 Aug@ Bayern München1–2L
4 Aug@ BG Pathum United3–1W
28 Julvs Real Sociedad2–4L
25 Jul@ FC Porto1–2L
21 Jul@ Walsall5–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Aston Villa.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 122%3.30X20%3.30258%1.95 0.8–1.5xG 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 58%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 151%1.97X20%3.85229%3.35 2.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Chelsea3 Real Sociedad1 167%1.58X20%4.40213%4.80 2.5–1.1xG 1Chelsea to win 67%@1.58 ✓
FT Bayern München3 RB Leipzig1 170%1.35X18%5.40212%7.00 2.5–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 137%2.70X21%3.65242%2.35 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Leeds4 FC Augsburg0 163%1.80X20%3.60217%3.60 3.6–2.1xG 1XLeeds or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X20%3.75235%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sunderland2 Rennes1 145%2.28X21%3.65234%2.80 1.9–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?

On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aston Villa 39%.

How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?

Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.