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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leeds v FC Augsburg: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Leeds

DWWWL
4–0
FT

FC Augsburg

WWLDD
Leeds 63%Draw 20%FC Augsburg 17% Expected goals 3.56 – 2.11
83%
Betarazi pick

Leeds or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Leeds to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeeds to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceLeeds or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.44
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.33

Leeds vs FC Augsburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leeds welcome FC Augsburg for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Leeds, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manchester United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

FC Augsburg, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sassuolo, at home. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leeds 3.6 xG, FC Augsburg 2.1 xG – a total near 5.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 92% and GG at 72%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leeds 63%, draw 20%, FC Augsburg 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leeds or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Leeds to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leeds or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leeds 3–2 FC Augsburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leeds63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
FC Augsburg17%fair 5.78 · @3.60
5.67Expected goals
3.56Leeds xG
2.11FC Augsburg xG
72%Both score
92%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–26%
3–15%
4–25%
4–15%
2–25%
2–15%

From our goals model: Leeds 3.6 – 2.1 FC Augsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeeds to win ✓63%1.601.80 ▲
Double chanceLeeds or draw ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗72%1.381.44
Draw no betLeeds (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapLeeds -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
First team to scoreLeeds to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLeeds ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leeds / FT Leeds ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6%17.33–

Recent results

Leeds – last 6

DWWWLL
12 Augvs Manchester United1–1D
8 Augvs RB Leipzig2–0W
2 Aug@ Liverpool4–2W
31 Jul@ Sunderland1–0W
26 Jul@ Wrexham2–3L
24 May@ West Ham0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Augsburg – last 6

WWLDDW
8 Augvs Sassuolo3–2W
5 Aug@ Schwaz15–0W
30 Julvs Bournemouth2–5L
25 Julvs FC Saarbrücken1–1D
10 Aprvs 1899 Hoffenheim2–2D
27 Febvs 1. FC Köln2–0W
4.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leeds and FC Augsburg.

Leeds vs FC Augsburg head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 122%3.30X20%3.30258%1.95 0.8–1.5xG 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 58%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 151%1.97X20%3.85229%3.35 2.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Chelsea3 Real Sociedad1 167%1.58X20%4.40213%4.80 2.5–1.1xG 1Chelsea to win 67%@1.58 ✓
FT Bayern München3 RB Leipzig1 170%1.35X18%5.40212%7.00 2.5–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Aston Villa1 142%3.00X19%4.10239%2.04 2.1–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 137%2.70X21%3.65242%2.35 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X20%3.75235%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sunderland2 Rennes1 145%2.28X21%3.65234%2.80 1.9–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs FC Augsburg?

Our pick is Leeds or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Leeds vs FC Augsburg?

On our numbers Leeds have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Augsburg 17%.

How many goals will there be in Leeds vs FC Augsburg?

We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 92% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs FC Augsburg?

Our predicted score is Leeds 3–2 FC Augsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.

When is Leeds vs FC Augsburg?

Leeds vs FC Augsburg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.