Progreso vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progreso welcome Albion FC to Parque Abraham Paladino for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 7 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Progreso are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Progreso, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Albion FC, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Torque, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Albion FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Progreso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progreso 1.2 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progreso 34%, draw 26%, Albion FC 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progreso 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progreso34%fair 2.98 · @3.15
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Albion FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.18
2.47Expected goals
1.22Progreso xG
1.25Albion FC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Progreso 1.2 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Progreso
Albion FC
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-10%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.20
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✓
40%
2.50
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Draw no bet
Albion FC (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Progreso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Albion FC to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✓
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Progreso – last 6
WLLLDD
30 May
@ Danubio
2–1
W
23 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
3 May
vs Cerro Largo
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
3–3
D
26 Mar
@ Racing Montevideo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Albion FC – last 6
LDWWDD
31 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
17 May
vs Wanderers
0–0
D
4 May
vs Club Nacional
3–2
W
18 Apr
vs Central Espanol
6–1
W
5 Apr
vs Cerro Largo
2–2
D
31 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progreso and Albion FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Progreso vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Progreso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Albion FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Progreso vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progreso vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Progreso 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Progreso vs Albion FC?
Progreso vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
