Value bet: Boston River to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Defensor Sporting vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 7 June the Primera División Apertura brings Defensor Sporting against Boston River at Estadio Luis Franzini. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Defensor Sporting are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Defensor Sporting, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Montevideo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Boston River, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensor Sporting 1.3 xG, Boston River 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensor Sporting 44%, draw 26%, Boston River 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Boston River to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensor Sporting 1–1 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensor Sporting44%fair 2.26 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Boston River30%fair 3.38 · @3.60
2.34Expected goals
1.30Defensor Sporting xG
1.03Boston River xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.3 – 1.0 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-0%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.14
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
44%
2.26
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Defensor Sporting (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Boston River +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Defensor Sporting to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Defensor Sporting – last 6
DLLLDW
30 May
@ Racing Montevideo
0–0
D
24 May
vs Penarol
0–2
L
17 May
@ Central Espanol
1–2
L
10 May
vs Juventud
1–2
L
4 May
@ Penarol
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Progreso
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 6
LLWLLL
1 Jun
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
26 May
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
20 May
vs O'Higgins
3–2
W
11 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
7 May
vs Millonarios
2–4
L
29 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boston River 30%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–1 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Defensor Sporting vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
