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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tajikistan v India: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Central Stadium

Tajikistan

WD
1–1
FT

India

LLW
Tajikistan 59%Draw 23%India 18% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.89
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTajikistan to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceTajikistan or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Tajikistan vs India: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tajikistan welcome India to Central Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 9 June (16:00 WAT).

Current form

India, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tajikistan, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jun 2026) it ended Tajikistan 3–1 India.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tajikistan 1.9 xG, India 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tajikistan 59%, draw 23%, India 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tajikistan or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tajikistan 2–0 India. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tajikistan59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
India18%fair 5.57 · @3.90
2.82Expected goals
1.93Tajikistan xG
0.89India xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Tajikistan 1.9 – 0.9 India expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TajikistanIndia
Attack vs Friendlies average-12%-28%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+48%
Our expected goals here2.240.93

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTajikistan to win ✗59%1.681.85 ▲
Double chanceTajikistan or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.93 ▲
Draw no betTajikistan (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapTajikistan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreTajikistan to score first ✗64%1.55–
Half-time resultTajikistan ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tajikistan / FT Tajikistan ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Tajikistan – last 2

WD
5 Junvs India3–1W
31 Marvs Philippines1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

India – last 3

LLW
5 Jun@ Tajikistan1–3L
27 May@ Jamaica0–2L
31 Marvs Hong Kong2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jun 2026Tajikistan v India3–1
Tajikistan vs India head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
– Vanuatu Fiji 160%1.60X22%4.20218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG 1Vanuatu to win 60%@1.60
FT Philippines5 Myanmar1 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.75 2.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.25 ✓
FT China0 Thailand0 138%1.95X23%3.30239%3.45 1.2–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Cambodia2 Hong Kong0 129%3.20X26%3.30245%2.05 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Oman Kuwait 156%1.85X22%3.42222%4.05 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.37
FT Indonesia1 Mozambique0 163%1.45X18%4.40219%5.25 2.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
– Bahrain Syria 146%2.35X23%3.10231%2.88 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40
FT Kyrgyzstan0 Palestine0 139%2.75X26%2.95235%2.50 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tajikistan vs India?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Tajikistan vs India?

On our numbers Tajikistan have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and India 18%.

How many goals will there be in Tajikistan vs India?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tajikistan vs India?

Our predicted score is Tajikistan 2–0 India, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Tajikistan vs India?

Tajikistan vs India (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.