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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chapecoense-sc v Cruzeiro: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil
0–0
FT
Chapecoense-sc 19%Draw 25%Cruzeiro 56% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.68
81%
Betarazi pick

Cruzeiro or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCruzeiro to win ✗56% · @1.87
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 2 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Chapecoense-sc against Cruzeiro. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.

Current form

Chapecoense-sc, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cruzeiro, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coritiba, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Chapecoense-sc.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 0.9 xG, Cruzeiro 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 19%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cruzeiro or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cruzeiro or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chapecoense-sc19%fair 5.18 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Cruzeiro56%fair 1.79 · @1.87
2.56Expected goals
0.88Chapecoense-sc xG
1.68Cruzeiro xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 0.9 – 1.7 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruzeiro to win ✗56%1.791.87
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betCruzeiro (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapChapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreCruzeiro to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Chapecoense-sc – last 6

DLLLDL
25 Jul@ Santos2–2D
23 Julvs Flamengo0–4L
17 Jul@ Bahia0–2L
4 Jun@ Avai0–3L
27 Mayvs Novorizontino2–2D
24 May@ Cruzeiro1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

WLWLWD
31 Jul@ Coritiba1–0W
26 Julvs Botafogo0–1L
23 Jul@ Internacional2–1W
12 Jul@ Gremio1–3L
4 Julvs Defensor Sporting2–0W
1 Junvs Fluminense1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Cruzeiro v Chapecoense-sc2–1
Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro 56%.

How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?

Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.