Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓68% · @1.22
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza EC travel to face Palmeiras on Sunday 2 August in the Copa Do Brasil, with Nubank Parque the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Vitoria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botafogo SP, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.0 xG, Fortaleza EC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 68%, draw 21%, Fortaleza EC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras68%fair 1.46 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @5.50
Fortaleza EC11%fair 9.52 · @14.50
2.67Expected goals
1.98Palmeiras xG
0.70Fortaleza EC xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.0 – 0.7 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
68%
1.46
1.22
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 6
WLWWWL
30 Jul
@ Vitoria
4–0
W
26 Jul
vs Atletico-MG
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Coritiba
3–1
W
28 May
vs Junior
4–1
W
24 May
@ Flamengo
3–0
W
21 May
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WLWLWW
29 Jul
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
22 Jul
@ Vila Nova
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
3 Jul
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
28 Jun
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fortaleza EC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Santos0
Remo0
Mirassol1
Gremio1
Chapecoense-sc0
Cruzeiro0
Internacional2
Corinthians0