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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mirassol v Gremio: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil

Mirassol

WDWLL
1–1
FT

Gremio

LDLLW
Mirassol 43%Draw 27%Gremio 30% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Gremio to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMirassol to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04

Mirassol vs Gremio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 2 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Mirassol against Gremio. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Mirassol, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Remo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Gremio, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bolívar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mirassol, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Gremio.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Mirassol 2–1 Gremio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.3 xG, Gremio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 43%, draw 27%, Gremio 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Gremio to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 Gremio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mirassol43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Gremio30%fair 3.34 · @3.75
2.34Expected goals
1.27Mirassol xG
1.07Gremio xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Mirassol 1.3 – 1.1 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMirassol to win ✗43%2.342.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betMirassol (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapGremio +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreMirassol to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mirassol / FT Mirassol ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.04–

Recent results

Mirassol – last 6

WDWLLW
29 Julvs Remo2–1W
26 Jul@ Vasco DA Gama1–1D
18 Julvs Gremio2–1W
30 May@ Atletico Paranaense0–1L
26 May@ Lanus0–1L
23 Mayvs Fluminense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gremio – last 6

LDLLWL
30 Julvs Bolívar0–1L
26 Julvs Fluminense1–1D
23 Jul@ Bolívar2–3L
18 Jul@ Mirassol1–2L
12 Julvs Cruzeiro3–1W
30 Mayvs Corinthians1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Mirassol v Gremio2–1
Mirassol vs Gremio head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Santos0 Remo0 162%1.51X22%4.10216%6.00 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Palmeiras3 Fortaleza EC0 168%1.22X21%5.50211%14.50 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Chapecoense-sc0 Cruzeiro0 119%4.10X25%3.40256%1.87 0.9–1.7xG X2Cruzeiro or draw 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Internacional2 Corinthians0 143%2.22X28%3.15230%3.35 1.3–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Gremio?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mirassol vs Gremio?

On our numbers Mirassol have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gremio 30%.

How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Gremio?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Gremio?

Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Mirassol vs Gremio?

Mirassol vs Gremio (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.