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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Panevėžys v Hegelmann Litauen: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Aukstaitijos Stadium
1–1
FT
Panevėžys 45%Draw 25%Hegelmann Litauen 30% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.05
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultPanevėžys to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Panevėžys welcome Hegelmann Litauen to Aukstaitijos Stadium for a A Lyga fixture on Saturday 4 July (14:00 WAT). In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Hegelmann Litauen are 8th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Panevėžys, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Suduva Marijampole, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Banga, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Hegelmann Litauen 3–2 Panevėžys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 0 wins, Hegelmann Litauen 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 1.6 xG, Hegelmann Litauen 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 45%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panevėžys45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Hegelmann Litauen30%fair 3.35 · @2.75
2.61Expected goals
1.56Panevėžys xG
1.05Hegelmann Litauen xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.6 – 1.0 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPanevėžys to win ✗45%2.242.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.67
Draw no betPanevėžys (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapHegelmann Litauen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scorePanevėžys to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Panevėžys / FT Panevėžys ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Panevėžys – last 6

LLWLLL
29 Junvs Suduva Marijampole1–2L
23 Jun@ Minija1–2L
20 Junvs Šiauliai3–2W
16 Jun@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–3L
12 Junvs TransINVEST Vilnius1–2L
30 May@ Džiugas Telšiai0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hegelmann Litauen – last 6

LDDLWL
28 Jun@ Banga0–2L
17 Junvs Džiugas Telšiai1–1D
14 Junvs Kauno Žalgiris1–1D
29 May@ TransINVEST Vilnius1–2L
24 May@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius3–1W
20 May@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Hegelmann Litauen v Panevėžys3–2
7 Mar 2026Panevėžys v Hegelmann Litauen1–1
Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

On our numbers Panevėžys have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hegelmann Litauen 30%.

How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.