Kauno Žalgiris 63%Draw 22%Panevėžys 15%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.87
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 11 July: Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys in the A Lyga. In the table, Kauno Žalgiris are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 32 matches; Panevėžys are 7th (lower half) with 38. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Drita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Panevėžys, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hegelmann Litauen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kauno Žalgiris, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Panevėžys.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 Panevėžys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kauno Žalgiris 2 wins, Panevėžys 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 xG, Panevėžys 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kauno Žalgiris 63%, draw 22%, Panevėžys 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kauno Žalgiris63%fair 1.60 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.40
Panevėžys15%fair 6.67 · @6.50
2.71Expected goals
1.84Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.87Panevėžys xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 – 0.9 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panevėžys 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
