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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Suduva Marijampole: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · LFF stadionas
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 44%Draw 23%Suduva Marijampole 33% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.15
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:15 WAT, Saturday 10 October: FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Suduva Marijampole in the A Lyga, played at LFF stadionas. In the table, FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 32 matches; Suduva Marijampole are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Panevėžys, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Suduva Marijampole, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hegelmann Litauen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Suduva Marijampole 0–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The last 3 head-to-heads: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1 win, Suduva Marijampole 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.4 xG, Suduva Marijampole 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Zalgiris Vilnius 44%, draw 23%, Suduva Marijampole 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1 Suduva Marijampole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Zalgiris Vilnius44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Suduva Marijampole33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.38FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
1.15Suduva Marijampole xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.4 – 1.1 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓44%2.272.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.70
Draw no betFK Zalgiris Vilnius (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapSuduva Marijampole +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreFK Zalgiris Vilnius to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Zalgiris Vilnius / FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius ✓25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6

LLWDWL
3 Octvs Panevėžys0–2L
19 Sep@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–3L
16 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris3–2W
13 Sep@ Suduva Marijampole0–0D
6 Sepvs Šiauliai1–0W
30 Aug@ Panevėžys0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

DDLWWW
20 Sep@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
13 Sepvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0D
9 Sep@ Kauno Žalgiris1–5L
6 Sep@ TransINVEST Vilnius2–1W
30 Aug@ Šiauliai2–1W
23 Augvs Panevėžys2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Suduva Marijampole v FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0
10 May 2026Suduva Marijampole v FK Zalgiris Vilnius1–1
10 Mar 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Suduva Marijampole1–0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?

On our numbers FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suduva Marijampole 33%.

How many goals will there be in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our predicted score is FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at LFF stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.