Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:45 WAT, Monday 20 July: Suduva Marijampole v Hegelmann Litauen in the A Lyga, played at Marijampole Football Arena. In the table, Suduva Marijampole are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Hegelmann Litauen are 8th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Suduva Marijampole, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with TransINVEST Vilnius, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Paide, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Hegelmann Litauen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Suduva Marijampole 1.8 xG, Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Suduva Marijampole 62%, draw 23%, Hegelmann Litauen 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Suduva Marijampole62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
Hegelmann Litauen15%fair 6.68 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.82Suduva Marijampole xG
0.78Hegelmann Litauen xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.8 – 0.8 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suduva Marijampole to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Suduva Marijampole or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Suduva Marijampole (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Suduva Marijampole -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Suduva Marijampole to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Suduva Marijampole ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Suduva Marijampole – last 6
DWWWDW
6 Jul
vs TransINVEST Vilnius
0–0
D
29 Jun
@ Panevėžys
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Džiugas Telšiai
2–1
W
16 Jun
vs Šiauliai
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Banga
0–0
D
29 May
@ FK Trakai
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hegelmann Litauen – last 6
LDDLDD
16 Jul
@ Paide
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs Paide
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Panevėžys
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Banga
0–2
L
17 Jun
vs Džiugas Telšiai
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Kauno Žalgiris
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suduva Marijampole and Hegelmann Litauen.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hegelmann Litauen 15%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
