Value bet: Panevėžys to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPanevėžys to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Monday 3 August: Panevėžys v Džiugas Telšiai in the A Lyga, played at Aukstaitijos Stadium. In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Džiugas Telšiai are 6th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Panevėžys, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Tobol Kostanay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Džiugas Telšiai, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to TransINVEST Vilnius, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Džiugas Telšiai 4–0 Panevėžys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 0 wins, Džiugas Telšiai 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 1.4 xG, Džiugas Telšiai 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 37%, draw 26%, Džiugas Telšiai 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Panevėžys to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panevėžys37%fair 2.67 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Džiugas Telšiai37%fair 2.72 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.44Panevėžys xG
1.22Džiugas Telšiai xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.4 – 1.2 Džiugas Telšiai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Džiugas Telšiai 37%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
