Džiugas Telšiai v Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓47% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Suduva Marijampole travel to face Džiugas Telšiai on Monday 17 August in the A Lyga, with Telsiai Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:45 WAT. In the table, Džiugas Telšiai are 6th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Suduva Marijampole are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Džiugas Telšiai, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Šiauliai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Suduva Marijampole, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Banga, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Džiugas Telšiai.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Džiugas Telšiai 1–2 Suduva Marijampole. The last 2 head-to-heads: Džiugas Telšiai 0 wins, Suduva Marijampole 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Džiugas Telšiai 1.0 xG, Suduva Marijampole 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Džiugas Telšiai 29%, draw 23%, Suduva Marijampole 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Suduva Marijampole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Džiugas Telšiai29%fair 3.39 · @3.45

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10

Suduva Marijampole47%fair 2.11 · @2.05

2.44Expected goals

1.03Džiugas Telšiai xG

1.41Suduva Marijampole xG

55%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–09%

1–29%

0–09%

0–29%

From our goals model: Džiugas Telšiai 1.0 – 1.4 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Suduva Marijampole to win ✓	47%	2.11	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.85
Draw no bet	Suduva Marijampole (draw no bet) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Džiugas Telšiai +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Suduva Marijampole to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole ✗	27%	3.73	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.22	–

Džiugas Telšiai – last 6

WDLWDD

9 Aug	@ Šiauliai	4–3	W
3 Aug	@ Panevėžys	1–1	D
26 Jul	@ TransINVEST Vilnius	0–1	L
19 Jul	vs Banga	1–0	W
3 Jul	vs Kauno Žalgiris	0–0	D
28 Jun	vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

WWDWWW

9 Aug	@ Banga	3–1	W
20 Jul	vs Hegelmann Litauen	5–1	W
6 Jul	vs TransINVEST Vilnius	0–0	D
29 Jun	@ Panevėžys	2–1	W
21 Jun	@ Džiugas Telšiai	2–1	W
16 Jun	vs Šiauliai	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

A Lyga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	32	16	10	6	+37	58
2	Suduva Marijampole	32	15	11	6	+11	56
3	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	32	16	6	10	+15	54
4	TransINVEST Vilnius	32	15	7	10	+12	52
5	Banga	32	11	9	12	+1	42
6	Džiugas Telšiai	32	11	9	12	-5	42
7	Panevėžys	32	11	5	16	-14	38
8	Hegelmann Litauen	32	4	14	14	-25	26
9	Šiauliai	32	5	9	18	-32	24
10	FK Trakai	0	0	0	0	0	0

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

On our numbers Džiugas Telšiai have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suduva Marijampole 47%.

How many goals will there be in Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our predicted score is Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Telsiai Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Džiugas Telšiai v Suduva Marijampole: numbers & prediction