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Panevėžys v FK Zalgiris Vilnius: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Aukstaitijos Stadium
2–0
FT
Panevėžys 18%Draw 19%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 63% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.85
63%
Betarazi pick

FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Panevėžys v FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the A Lyga, played at Aukstaitijos Stadium. In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Panevėžys, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Suduva Marijampole, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Džiugas Telšiai, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Panevėžys.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–0 Panevėžys. The last 3 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 1 win, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 0.8 xG, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 18%, draw 19%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panevėžys18%fair 5.50 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
2.68Expected goals
0.83Panevėžys xG
1.85FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Panevėžys 0.8 – 1.8 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✗63%1.581.44
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.62
Draw no betFK Zalgiris Vilnius (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapFK Zalgiris Vilnius -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreFK Zalgiris Vilnius to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Zalgiris Vilnius / FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Panevėžys – last 6

LLWDDD
23 Aug@ Suduva Marijampole0–2L
17 Aug@ Šiauliai0–1L
10 Aug@ TransINVEST Vilnius2–0W
3 Augvs Džiugas Telšiai1–1D
30 Jul@ FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
23 Julvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6

WLLLWW
23 Augvs Džiugas Telšiai2–0W
16 Augvs Banga2–3L
13 Aug@ HNK Hajduk Split0–4L
6 Augvs HNK Hajduk Split2–5L
30 Julvs Dinamo Tbilisi7–2W
27 Jul@ Hegelmann Litauen3–2W
2.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jun 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Panevėžys3–0
3 May 2026Panevėžys v FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–1
27 Feb 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Panevėžys4–1
Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our pick is FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

On our numbers Panevėžys have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 63%.

How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our predicted score is Panevėžys 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.