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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Panevėžys v Kauno Žalgiris: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Aukstaitijos Stadium
0–1
FT
Panevėžys 16%Draw 20%Kauno Žalgiris 64% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.89
64%
Betarazi pick

Kauno Žalgiris to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Panevėžys v Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga, played at Aukstaitijos Stadium. In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 1st (leading the league) with 58. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Panevėžys, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hegelmann Litauen, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Suduva Marijampole, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 3–0 Panevėžys. The last 3 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 0 wins, Kauno Žalgiris 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 0.8 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 16%, draw 20%, Kauno Žalgiris 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kauno Žalgiris to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panevėžys16%fair 6.13 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Kauno Žalgiris64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
2.71Expected goals
0.82Panevėžys xG
1.89Kauno Žalgiris xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Panevėžys 0.8 – 1.9 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64%1.571.57
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.75
Draw no betKauno Žalgiris (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapKauno Žalgiris -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreKauno Žalgiris to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultKauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Panevėžys – last 6

WWWLLW
7 Sep@ Hegelmann Litauen3–1W
3 Sep@ Banga3–0W
30 Augvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–0W
23 Aug@ Suduva Marijampole0–2L
17 Aug@ Šiauliai0–1L
10 Aug@ TransINVEST Vilnius2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

WWWDWL
9 Sepvs Suduva Marijampole5–1W
6 Sepvs Džiugas Telšiai5–0W
3 Sep@ Šiauliai1–0W
30 Aug@ Banga0–0D
27 Augvs Beşiktaş1–0W
20 Aug@ Beşiktaş0–3L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys3–0
10 Mar 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys4–0
16 Feb 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys1–0
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

On our numbers Panevėžys have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kauno Žalgiris 64%.

How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our predicted score is Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.