Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the A Lyga brings Hegelmann Litauen against Suduva Marijampole at Raudondvario stadionas. Kick-off: 12:15 WAT. In the table, Hegelmann Litauen are 8th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Suduva Marijampole are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Šiauliai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Suduva Marijampole, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Zalgiris Vilnius, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Hegelmann Litauen.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Suduva Marijampole 5–1 Hegelmann Litauen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 xG, Suduva Marijampole 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 17%, draw 22%, Suduva Marijampole 61%.
Lower-risk option: Suduva Marijampole or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Suduva Marijampole to win (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Suduva Marijampole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hegelmann Litauen17%fair 5.94 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
Suduva Marijampole61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
2.53Expected goals
0.78Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.75Suduva Marijampole xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 – 1.8 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suduva Marijampole 61%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
