Value bet: Panevėžys to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPanevėžys to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.62
Panevėžys vs Banga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Panevėžys welcome Banga to Aukstaitijos Stadium for a A Lyga fixture on Saturday 17 October (12:15 WAT). In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Banga are 5th (upper half) with 42.
Current form
Panevėžys, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Banga, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Džiugas Telšiai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Panevėžys, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Banga.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Banga 0–3 Panevėžys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 2 wins, Banga 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 1.3 xG, Banga 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 44%, draw 23%, Banga 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Panevėžys to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 1–1 Banga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panevėžys44%fair 2.27 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Banga33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
2.44Expected goals
1.34Panevėžys xG
1.10Banga xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.3 – 1.1 Banga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Banga?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Banga 33%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Banga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Banga?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Banga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Banga?
Panevėžys vs Banga (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
