Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:45 WAT, Monday 19 October: Suduva Marijampole v Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga, played at Marijampole Football Arena. In the table, Suduva Marijampole are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 1st (leading the league) with 58. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Suduva Marijampole, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FK Zalgiris Vilnius, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Brighton, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kauno Žalgiris, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Suduva Marijampole.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 5–1 Suduva Marijampole. The last 2 head-to-heads: Suduva Marijampole 1 win, Kauno Žalgiris 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Suduva Marijampole 0.9 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Suduva Marijampole 19%, draw 25%, Kauno Žalgiris 56%.
Lower-risk option: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kauno Žalgiris or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suduva Marijampole 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Suduva Marijampole19%fair 5.31 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Kauno Žalgiris56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
2.61Expected goals
0.90Suduva Marijampole xG
1.71Kauno Žalgiris xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 0.9 – 1.7 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kauno Žalgiris 56%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
