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FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Hegelmann Litauen: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · LFF stadionas
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 67%Draw 21%Hegelmann Litauen 12% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.69
67%
Betarazi pick

FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Hegelmann Litauen in the A Lyga, played at LFF stadionas. In the table, FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 32 matches; Hegelmann Litauen are 8th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Suduva Marijampole, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Suduva Marijampole, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Hegelmann Litauen.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jul 2026) it ended Hegelmann Litauen 2–3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The last 3 head-to-heads: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1 win, Hegelmann Litauen 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.0 xG, Hegelmann Litauen 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Zalgiris Vilnius 67%, draw 21%, Hegelmann Litauen 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Zalgiris Vilnius67%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.33
Hegelmann Litauen12%fair 8.56 · @6.50
2.67Expected goals
1.98FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
0.69Hegelmann Litauen xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.0 – 0.7 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓67%1.481.36
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓88%1.131.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.70
Draw no betFK Zalgiris Vilnius (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapFK Zalgiris Vilnius -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreFK Zalgiris Vilnius to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Zalgiris Vilnius / FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6

WLLWDW
10 Octvs Suduva Marijampole4–0W
3 Octvs Panevėžys0–2L
19 Sep@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–3L
16 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris3–2W
13 Sep@ Suduva Marijampole0–0D
6 Sepvs Šiauliai1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hegelmann Litauen – last 6

DDLDDL
20 Sepvs Suduva Marijampole1–1D
13 Sep@ Šiauliai0–0D
7 Sepvs Panevėžys1–3L
31 Aug@ Džiugas Telšiai2–2D
23 Augvs Banga1–1D
8 Aug@ Kauno Žalgiris0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jul 2026Hegelmann Litauen v FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–3
24 May 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Hegelmann Litauen1–3
22 Mar 2026Hegelmann Litauen v FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Our pick is FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

On our numbers FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hegelmann Litauen 12%.

How many goals will there be in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Our predicted score is FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LFF stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.