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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kauno Žalgiris v FK Zalgiris Vilnius: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania
Kauno Žalgiris 57%Draw 23%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.96
80%
Betarazi pick

Kauno Žalgiris or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius travel to face Kauno Žalgiris on Monday 26 October in the A Lyga – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Kauno Žalgiris are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 32 matches; FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Brann, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Hegelmann Litauen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Sep 2026) it ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2 Kauno Žalgiris. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kauno Žalgiris 1 win, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 xG, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kauno Žalgiris 57%, draw 23%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kauno Žalgiris or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kauno Žalgiris57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
FK Zalgiris Vilnius20%fair 5.00 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.79Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.96FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 – 1.0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betKauno Žalgiris (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapFK Zalgiris Vilnius +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreKauno Žalgiris to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultKauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

LWLWWL
22 Octvs Brann1–4L
19 Oct@ Suduva Marijampole1–0W
15 Oct@ Brighton0–4L
11 Oct@ Minija3–0W
20 Sep@ Šiauliai2–0W
16 Sep@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6

WWLLWD
18 Octvs Hegelmann Litauen4–1W
10 Octvs Suduva Marijampole4–0W
3 Octvs Panevėžys0–2L
19 Sep@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–3L
16 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris3–2W
13 Sep@ Suduva Marijampole0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Sep 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris3–2
31 May 2026Kauno Žalgiris v FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–1
5 Apr 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris0–3
Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.