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Hegelmann Litauen v Kauno Žalgiris: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Raudondvario stadionas
Hegelmann Litauen 13%Draw 17%Kauno Žalgiris 70% Expected goals 0.67 – 1.99
70%
Betarazi pick

Kauno Žalgiris to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18

Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hegelmann Litauen welcome Kauno Žalgiris to Raudondvario stadionas for a A Lyga fixture on Saturday 31 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Hegelmann Litauen are 8th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 1st (leading the league) with 58. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to TransINVEST Vilnius, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Zalgiris Vilnius, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kauno Žalgiris, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Hegelmann Litauen.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Hegelmann Litauen. The last 2 head-to-heads: Hegelmann Litauen 0 wins, Kauno Žalgiris 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 0.7 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 13%, draw 17%, Kauno Žalgiris 70%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kauno Žalgiris to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hegelmann Litauen13%fair 7.82 · @8.00
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.75
Kauno Žalgiris70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
2.66Expected goals
0.67Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.99Kauno Žalgiris xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–214%
1–19%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%

From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.7 – 2.0 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓70%1.431.30
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.85
Draw no betKauno Žalgiris (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapKauno Žalgiris -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreKauno Žalgiris to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultKauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.18–

Recent results

Hegelmann Litauen – last 6

LLDDLD
24 Oct@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–2L
18 Oct@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius1–4L
20 Sepvs Suduva Marijampole1–1D
13 Sep@ Šiauliai0–0D
7 Sepvs Panevėžys1–3L
31 Aug@ Džiugas Telšiai2–2D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

DLWLWW
26 Octvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0D
22 Octvs Brann1–4L
19 Oct@ Suduva Marijampole1–0W
15 Oct@ Brighton0–4L
11 Oct@ Minija3–0W
20 Sep@ Šiauliai2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Hegelmann Litauen2–0
14 Jun 2026Hegelmann Litauen v Kauno Žalgiris1–1
Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?

On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kauno Žalgiris 70%.

How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.