Newcastle vs Everton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newcastle welcome Everton to Murrayfield for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 12 August (17:15 WAT).
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valencia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Everton, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to VfB Stuttgart, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newcastle, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Everton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.3 xG, Everton 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 33%, draw 24%, Everton 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 Everton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Everton43%fair 2.34 · @2.42
2.88Expected goals
1.28Newcastle xG
1.60Everton xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.3 – 1.6 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newcastle
Everton
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-8%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-24%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.70
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✓
43%
2.34
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Everton (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Everton to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
WLDWLW
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bristol City
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Gateshead
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Darlington 1883
3–0
W
24 May
@ Fulham
0–2
L
17 May
vs West Ham
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Everton – last 6
LWLDWL
8 Aug
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Hamburger SV
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Stoke City
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Bolton
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Dundee
4–0
W
24 May
@ Tottenham
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Everton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Everton 43%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Murrayfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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