Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win @ 2.78 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗43% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nottingham Forest welcome Bayer Leverkusen for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 12 August (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sevilla, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bayer Leverkusen, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Nottingham Forest.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.4 xG, Bayer Leverkusen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 33%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 43%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Bayer Leverkusen to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest33%fair 3.04 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.55
Bayer Leverkusen43%fair 2.33 · @2.78
3.02Expected goals
1.35Nottingham Forest xG
1.67Bayer Leverkusen xG
66%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.4 – 1.7 Bayer Leverkusen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nottingham Forest
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-2%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.68
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
43%
2.33
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Draw no bet
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Nottingham Forest +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LLLWDW
8 Aug
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Sporting CP
1–4
L
31 Jul
@ Portimonense
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Guimaraes
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Blackburn
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
vs Sevilla
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Kickers Offenbach
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ SF Baumberg
7–0
W
22 Apr
vs Bayern München
0–2
L
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Bayer Leverkusen.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 43%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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