Deportivo La Coruna 22%Draw 22%Real Madrid 55%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.75
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid to win ✓55% · @1.54
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid travel to face Deportivo La Coruna on Wednesday 12 August in the Friendlies Clubs, with Estadio Abanca-Riazor the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Genoa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Madrid, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ferencvarosi TC, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Deportivo La Coruna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Coruna 1.1 xG, Real Madrid 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Coruna 22%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 55%.
Lower-risk option: Real Madrid or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Real Madrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Coruna22%fair 4.47 · @4.65
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.85
Real Madrid55%fair 1.81 · @1.54
2.90Expected goals
1.15Deportivo La Coruna xG
1.75Real Madrid xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruna 1.1 – 1.8 Real Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo La Coruna
Real Madrid
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-12%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.53
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid to win✓
55%
1.81
1.54
Double chance
Real Madrid or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Real Madrid (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
First team to score
Real Madrid to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
WDDWDW
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Lugo
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Compostela
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Madrid – last 6
WDWWWW
8 Aug
@ Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Fiorentina
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Leganes
4–1
W
17 May
@ Sevilla
1–0
W
14 May
vs Oviedo
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Alaves
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruna and Real Madrid.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruna have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 55%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Real Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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