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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Livingston v Forfar Athletic: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · The Home of the Set Fare Arena

Livingston

DWWWW
8–0
FT

Forfar Athletic

LLLDL
Livingston 81%Draw 13%Forfar Athletic 6% Expected goals 2.66 – 0.58
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
U3.5

Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLivingston to win ✓81% · @1.06
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17

Livingston vs Forfar Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Livingston welcome Forfar Athletic to The Home of the Set Fare Arena for a League Cup fixture on Tuesday 21 July (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Livingston, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Partick, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Forfar Athletic, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Partick, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Forfar Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 2.7 xG, Forfar Athletic 0.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 81%, draw 13%, Forfar Athletic 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 3–0 Forfar Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Livingston81%fair 1.24 · @1.06
Draw13%fair 7.70 · @8.40
Forfar Athletic6%fair 15.63 · @29.00
3.24Expected goals
2.66Livingston xG
0.58Forfar Athletic xG
50%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
3–012%
1–010%
4–08%
2–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Livingston 2.7 – 0.6 Forfar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLivingston to win ✓81%1.241.06
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓94%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.42
Draw no betLivingston (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapLivingston -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.912.05 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.421.45
First team to scoreLivingston to score first ✓79%1.27–
Half-time resultLivingston ahead at half-time ✓60%1.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Livingston / FT Livingston ✓57%1.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.17–

Recent results

Livingston – last 6

DWWWWL
18 Julvs Partick1–1D
14 Jul@ Brechin2–0W
10 Julvs Heart Of Midlothian2–1W
30 Jun@ Alloa Athletic3–0W
27 Junvs Dundee2–0W
17 Mayvs Kilmarnock1–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Forfar Athletic – last 6

LLLDLD
14 Julvs Partick0–4L
11 Jul@ Stenhousemuir0–2L
7 Julvs Peterhead0–3L
4 Julvs Banks O' Dee2–2D
30 Junvs ST Johnstone0–4L
27 Junvs Montrose1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Forfar Athletic.

Livingston vs Forfar Athletic head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Kelty Hearts3 Brora Rangers2 151%1.35X19%4.60230%7.00 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Partick2 Stenhousemuir2 Pens 3–5 166%1.25X22%5.10212%10.25 2.1–0.8xG 1Partick to win 66%@1.25 ✗
FT Raith Rovers1 Peterhead0 166%1.25X22%4.80212%11.00 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.55 ✓
FT Ross County1 Dundee1 Pens 7–6 149%3.00X20%3.55231%2.05 2.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT ST Mirren4 East Kilbride3 161%1.15X19%6.25220%14.00 2.3–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?

On our numbers Livingston have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Forfar Athletic 6%.

How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?

Our predicted score is Livingston 3–0 Forfar Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Livingston vs Forfar Athletic?

Livingston vs Forfar Athletic (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.