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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Partick v Stenhousemuir: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Firhill Stadium

Partick

DWWDL
2–2
FTPens 3–5

Stenhousemuir

WWWDW
Partick 66%Draw 22%Stenhousemuir 12% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.83
66%
Betarazi pick

Partick to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPartick to win ✗66% · @1.25
Double chancePartick or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Partick vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stenhousemuir travel to face Partick on Tuesday 21 July in the League Cup, with Firhill Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Partick, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Livingston, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Stenhousemuir, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brechin, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stenhousemuir, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Partick.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Partick 2.1 xG, Stenhousemuir 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Partick 66%, draw 22%, Stenhousemuir 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Partick to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Partick 2–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Partick66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @5.10
Stenhousemuir12%fair 8.59 · @10.25
2.94Expected goals
2.11Partick xG
0.83Stenhousemuir xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Partick 2.1 – 0.8 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPartick to win ✗66%1.511.25
Double chancePartick or draw ✓88%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.85 ▲
Draw no betPartick (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapPartick -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
First team to scorePartick to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultPartick ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Partick / FT Partick ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Partick – last 6

DWWDLD
18 Jul@ Livingston1–1D
14 Jul@ Forfar Athletic4–0W
11 Julvs Brechin6–0W
27 Jun@ Pollok0–0D
25 May@ ST Mirren0–1L
21 Mayvs ST Mirren1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stenhousemuir – last 6

WWWDWD
18 Jul@ Brechin2–1W
11 Julvs Forfar Athletic2–0W
13 May@ Alloa Athletic3–1W
5 May@ Queen of the South1–1D
3 Mar@ Hamilton Academical1–0W
21 Feb@ Inverness CT1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Partick and Stenhousemuir.

Partick vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Kelty Hearts3 Brora Rangers2 151%1.35X19%4.60230%7.00 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Livingston8 Forfar Athletic0 181%1.06X13%8.4026%29.00 2.7–0.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Raith Rovers1 Peterhead0 166%1.25X22%4.80212%11.00 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.55 ✓
FT Ross County1 Dundee1 Pens 7–6 149%3.00X20%3.55231%2.05 2.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT ST Mirren4 East Kilbride3 161%1.15X19%6.25220%14.00 2.3–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Our pick is Partick to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

On our numbers Partick have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stenhousemuir 12%.

How many goals will there be in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Our predicted score is Partick 2–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Partick vs Stenhousemuir (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.