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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v Plaza Amador: numbers & prediction

Concacaf Central American Cup · World · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto

LD Alajuelense

LLWWW
3–1
FT

Plaza Amador

WWWWW
LD Alajuelense 65%Draw 21%Plaza Amador 14% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.99
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:30 WAT, Thursday 27 August: LD Alajuelense v Plaza Amador in the Concacaf Central American Cup, played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Carlos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Plaza Amador, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over UMECIT, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Plaza Amador, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for LD Alajuelense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 2.3 xG, Plaza Amador 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 65%, draw 21%, Plaza Amador 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: LD Alajuelense or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 2–0 Plaza Amador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.65
Plaza Amador14%fair 7.21 · @4.10
3.27Expected goals
2.28LD Alajuelense xG
0.99Plaza Amador xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 2.3 – 1.0 Plaza Amador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✓65%1.541.73 ▲
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓86%1.161.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.65
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapLD Alajuelense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.601.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultLD Alajuelense ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 6

LLWWWW
24 Augvs San Carlos0–1L
21 Aug@ Firpo0–1L
15 Augvs Puntarenas FC2–1W
10 Aug@ CS Herediano3–0W
5 Aug@ Diriangén3–1W
2 Augvs Escorpiones Belén2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Plaza Amador – last 6

WWWWWW
24 Augvs UMECIT3–0W
17 Aug@ Alianza FC4–2W
12 Augvs Xelajú5–2W
9 Augvs Tauro FC3–2W
5 Augvs Firpo2–1W
2 Aug@ Sporting San Miguelito2–0W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between LD Alajuelense and Plaza Amador.

LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador head-to-head page →

More Concacaf Central American Cup predictions

League hub
FT CD Marathon3 Real Estelí0 161%1.95X25%3.10214%3.75 1.5–0.6xG 1XCD Marathon or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Xelajú1 Firpo1 137%2.20X21%3.40241%2.85 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plaza Amador 14%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 2–0 Plaza Amador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?

LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.