Value bet: Firpo to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Xelajú vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 27 August the Concacaf Central American Cup brings Xelajú against Firpo at Estadio Mario Camposeco. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Municipal, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Firpo, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Platense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Firpo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Xelajú.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.4 xG, Firpo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 37%, draw 21%, Firpo 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Firpo to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–1 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Firpo41%fair 2.42 · @2.85
2.87Expected goals
1.39Xelajú xG
1.48Firpo xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.4 – 1.5 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
41%
2.42
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 6
LWLDWL
23 Aug
@ Municipal
0–2
L
19 Aug
vs Diriangén
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Plaza Amador
2–5
L
8 Aug
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
4 Aug
vs Aurora
3–1
W
30 Jul
@ LD Alajuelense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
WWDWWL
24 Aug
vs Platense
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs LD Alajuelense
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Inca Aruba
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Diriangén
4–0
W
9 Aug
vs Municipal Limeño
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Plaza Amador
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Firpo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Firpo?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Firpo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Firpo?
Xelajú vs Firpo (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Marathon3
Real Estelí0
LD Alajuelense3
Plaza Amador1