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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liberia v Sierra Leone: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia

LDL
3–1
FT

Sierra Leone

W
Liberia 35%Draw 24%Sierra Leone 41% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.04
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Sierra Leone to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSierra Leone to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.19

Liberia vs Sierra Leone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Tuesday 9 June: Liberia v Sierra Leone in the Friendlies, played at Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex.

Current form

Liberia, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sierra Leone, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Sierra Leone 1–0 Liberia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liberia 0.9 xG, Sierra Leone 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liberia 35%, draw 24%, Sierra Leone 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Sierra Leone to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liberia 0–1 Sierra Leone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liberia35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.95
Sierra Leone41%fair 2.46 · @2.65
1.98Expected goals
0.94Liberia xG
1.04Sierra Leone xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Liberia 0.9 – 1.0 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSierra Leone to win ✗41%2.462.65 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95
Draw no betSierra Leone (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapLiberia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.631.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.211.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSierra Leone to score first ✗45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.19–

Recent results

Liberia – last 3

LDL
6 Jun@ Sierra Leone0–1L
31 Marvs Libya2–2D
27 Mar@ Benin0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sierra Leone – last 1

W
6 Junvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Sierra Leone v Liberia1–0
Liberia vs Sierra Leone head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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– Vanuatu Fiji 160%1.60X22%4.20218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG 1Vanuatu to win 60%@1.60
FT Philippines5 Myanmar1 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.75 2.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.25 ✓
FT China0 Thailand0 138%1.95X23%3.30239%3.45 1.2–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Cambodia2 Hong Kong0 129%3.20X26%3.30245%2.05 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Oman Kuwait 156%1.85X22%3.42222%4.05 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.37
FT Indonesia1 Mozambique0 163%1.45X18%4.40219%5.25 2.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
– Bahrain Syria 146%2.35X23%3.10231%2.88 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40
FT Kyrgyzstan0 Palestine0 139%2.75X26%2.95235%2.50 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

On our numbers Liberia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sierra Leone 41%.

How many goals will there be in Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

Our predicted score is Liberia 0–1 Sierra Leone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

Liberia vs Sierra Leone (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.