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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

WLWWD
2–0
FT

Arda Kardzhali

WLWWL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%Draw 25%Arda Kardzhali 34% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.98
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Arda Kardzhali for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 4 July (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botev Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rilski Sportist, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali. The last 3 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 wins, Arda Kardzhali 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
Arda Kardzhali34%fair 2.95 · @2.38
2.20Expected goals
1.22Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.98Arda Kardzhali xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 – 1.0 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+9%-27%
Goals conceded vs average-25%-12%
Our expected goals here1.250.88

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓41%2.452.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betLokomotiv Plovdiv (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapArda Kardzhali +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Plovdiv to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.43–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

WLWWDL
25 Mayvs Botev Plovdiv2–1W
12 May@ Cherno More Varna0–2L
8 Mayvs Arda Kardzhali2–0W
3 May@ Botev Plovdiv2–0W
30 Aprvs Arda Kardzhali1–1D
26 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

WLWWLD
1 Jul@ Rilski Sportist2–0W
26 Jun@ Botev Plovdiv1–2L
25 May@ Cherno More Varna3–2W
12 May@ Botev Plovdiv2–1W
8 May@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
3 Mayvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali2–0
30 Apr 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali1–1
22 Apr 2026Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali head-to-head page →

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Cancelled České Budějovice Slavia Praha II 144%2.50X20%3.75235%2.25 2.2–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.60
FT FC Lugano1 Rapperswil1 160%1.25X20%5.20220%8.75 2.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✗
FT Ružomberok3 Lokomotíva Zvolen3 150%1.67X24%3.80225%4.33 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Teplice0 Příbram0 163%1.50X24%3.70213%6.20 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗
FT Mlada Boleslav3 Viktoria Žižkov0 164%1.57X20%4.00216%4.50 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arda Kardzhali 34%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.