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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Moscow v Krylia Sovetov: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Spartak Moscow 58%Draw 23%Krylia Sovetov 19% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.16
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.89 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓58% · @1.45
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓81% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Spartak Moscow against Krylia Sovetov. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spartak Kostroma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FK Sokol Saratov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Krylia Sovetov.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Krylia Sovetov 2–1 Spartak Moscow.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, Krylia Sovetov 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 58%, draw 23%, Krylia Sovetov 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.89.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–1 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Moscow58%fair 1.72 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.05
Krylia Sovetov19%fair 5.31 · @7.40
3.07Expected goals
1.91Spartak Moscow xG
1.16Krylia Sovetov xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 1.2 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-4%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+11%
Our expected goals here1.841.36

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✓58%1.721.45
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓81%1.231.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.89 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.241.11
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✓34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WDWWLW
2 Julvs Spartak Kostroma1–0W
17 May@ Dinamo Makhachkala0–0D
11 Mayvs Rubin2–1W
6 Mayvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
1 May@ Krylia Sovetov1–2L
26 Apr@ Nizhny Novgorod2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LDWLWL
1 Julvs FK Sokol Saratov2–3L
28 Junvs FK Neftekhimik1–1D
17 Mayvs Akron4–1W
10 May@ FC Orenburg0–1L
1 Mayvs Spartak Moscow2–1W
21 Apr@ FC Sochi1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Krylia Sovetov v Spartak Moscow2–1
Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Krylia Sovetov 19%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–1 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.