ADT vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Primera División brings ADT against Universitario at Estadio Union Tarma. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ADT, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cienciano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Millonarios, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.2 xG, Universitario 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 32%, draw 25%, Universitario 43%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Universitario43%fair 2.33 · @2.32
2.66Expected goals
1.22ADT xG
1.45Universitario xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: ADT 1.2 – 1.4 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
Universitario
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.63
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✓
43%
2.33
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
ADT +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Universitario to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
WLWDLL
10 Jul
@ Cienciano
3–2
W
26 Jun
@ Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
19 Jun
vs Alianza Universidad
3–1
W
12 Jun
@ Minas
0–0
D
30 May
vs Cusco
1–2
L
24 May
@ Sporting Cristal
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
WDLWDD
11 Jul
vs Millonarios
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Atletico Grau
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Molinos El Pirata
0–2
L
31 May
vs Sport Huancayo
2–1
W
27 May
vs Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
20 May
@ Club Nacional
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Universitario.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ADT vs Universitario?
On our numbers ADT have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitario 43%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Universitario?
ADT vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
