Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.88
ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to face ADT on Sunday 2 August in the Primera División, with Estadio Union Tarma the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ADT, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sport Boys, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.2 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 38%, draw 26%, Deportivo Garcilaso 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Deportivo Garcilaso37%fair 2.73 · @3.30
2.51Expected goals
1.22ADT xG
1.30Deportivo Garcilaso xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: ADT 1.2 – 1.3 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.39
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win✗
38%
2.64
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
ADT +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.88
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
LLWLWD
25 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Universitario
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Cienciano
3–2
W
26 Jun
@ Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
19 Jun
vs Alianza Universidad
3–1
W
12 Jun
@ Minas
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WLDWLD
27 Jul
vs FC Cajamarca
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
29 Jun
vs Deportivo Binacional
4–1
W
22 Jun
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
15 Jun
vs Cusco
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers ADT have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Garcilaso 37%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
