Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Lima welcome Alianza Atletico to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 2 August (02:30 WAT). In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Alianza Atletico are 7th (upper half) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Comerciantes Unidos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza Lima.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Alianza Lima 1–2 Alianza Atletico. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alianza Lima 0 wins, Alianza Atletico 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 2.0 xG, Alianza Atletico 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 68%, draw 20%, Alianza Atletico 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 2–0 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima68%fair 1.46 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.33
Alianza Atletico11%fair 8.81 · @8.60
2.74Expected goals
2.02Alianza Lima xG
0.72Alianza Atletico xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.0 – 0.7 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Attack vs Primera División average
+7%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+20%
Our expected goals here
2.26
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza Atletico 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
