Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Primera División brings Cusco against UTC Cajamarca at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cusco, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UCV Moquegua, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Cusco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 1.9 xG, UTC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 61%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 18%.
Lower-risk option: Cusco or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
UTC Cajamarca18%fair 5.61 · @5.60
2.89Expected goals
1.95Cusco xG
0.94UTC Cajamarca xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.9 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+25%
Our expected goals here
2.08
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cusco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UTC Cajamarca 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
