Value bet: Universitario to win @ 1.76 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✓64% · @1.76
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.53
FC Cajamarca vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Primera División brings FC Cajamarca against Universitario at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FBC Melgar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sporting Cristal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for FC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Universitario 1–0 FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 0.7 xG, Universitario 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 12%, draw 24%, Universitario 64%.
Lower-risk option: Universitario or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Universitario to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 0–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca12%fair 8.22 · @4.75
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.45
Universitario64%fair 1.57 · @1.76
2.63Expected goals
0.73FC Cajamarca xG
1.90Universitario xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 0.7 – 1.9 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitario 64%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 0–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
FC Cajamarca vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
