Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓14% · fair 7.21
Cusco vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cusco welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 6 September (00:00 WAT). In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cusco, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cienciano, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Alianza Atletico, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cusco, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 2.0 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 70%, draw 18%, UCV Moquegua 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cusco to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @5.00
UCV Moquegua13%fair 7.97 · @11.00
2.67Expected goals
2.00Cusco xG
0.67UCV Moquegua xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cusco 2.0 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Draw no bet
Cusco (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Cusco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Cusco to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✓
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
14%
7.21
–
Recent results
Cusco – last 6
WLWLWL
31 Aug
@ Cienciano
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
2 Aug
vs UTC Cajamarca
4–1
W
25 Jul
@ Universitario
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLWDLD
30 Aug
vs Alianza Atletico
1–4
L
27 Aug
@ ADT
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sport Huancayo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs FBC Melgar
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and UCV Moquegua.
Our pick is Cusco to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Cusco have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UCV Moquegua 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
Cusco vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
